BMA EMPRESS CASH FUND (BECF)
The BMA Empress Cash Fund is a professionally managed cash fund, which aims to minimize risk, maximize liquidity and generate a competitive rate of return. This will be achieved by concentrating portfolio allocation in AA rated banks and short duration sovereign rated securities.
|Fund Type||Open End|
|Category||Money Market Fund|
|Benchmark||70% 3M PKRV + 30% 3M Bank Rate|
|Cut‐off time||4:00 PM|
|Front end Load||upto 1%|
|Back End Load||Nil|
|Fund Stability Rating||AA+ (F) (JCR)|
|Risk Profile||Low Risk|
|Auditor||EY Ford Rhodes, Chartered Accountants|
|Transfer Agent||Technology Trade|
|Legal Advisors||KMS Law Associates|
|Management Quality Rating||AM3|
|*This includes 0.22% of SECP Fee & Govt. Levy|
|**Management fee is reduced to 0% from 18 November 2016 for|
|a period of six month|
The fund earned an annualized return of 4.42% during July’17 as against the benchmark of 5.19%, underperformed by 77bps. This performance is net of management fee and all other expenses. Standard deviation of portfolio was 0.02%, reflecting the stable nature of the fund’s income. Portfolio duration was at 10 days while the weighted average maturity was also at 10 days. We have maintained investment in daily products & shorter tenor instruments and will continue so to avoid interest rate risk.
PORTFOLIO RATING PROFILE
CPI inflation in July’17 increased by 2.9%YoY/0.3%MoM as compared to 3.9%YoY/-0.4%MoM in June’17. The current level of inflation is primarily driven by lower food inflation (0.7%YoY) which has the largest weight (35%) in the CPI basket. We are expecting CPI inflation to remain soft till 3QFY18 and according to our estimates it will be 4.1%-4.3% in FY18 and this estimate is sensitive to following factors i) rebasing of the CPI which is due in 2018 ii) boost in public and private expenditures in light of upcoming elections iii) expected currency devaluation.
State Bank of Pakistan in its MPS of July’17 has kept the policy rate unchanged at 5.75%. The Monetary Policy Statement (MPS) highlighted benign inflation outlook and strengthening aggregate demand as two key positives while mentioned deteriorating external account position in the shape of widening current account deficit as a critical balance of payments challenge.
As per latest data, Current Account Deficit (CAD) showed little respite in Jun’17, recording USD1.43bn (vs USD1.65bn in May’17). As a result, CAD in FY17 came in at highest level in eight years at USD12.1bn (4.0% of GDP) vs USD4.9bn (1.7% of GDP) last year. CAD increase is primarily led by (i) 17.5% YoY jump in imports to USD48.5bn (where ~40% of the increase is due to rise in machinery imports – positive for fixed investment and growth), and (ii) lackluster performance of exports (down 1.4% YoY at USD21.7bn) and remittances ( down 3% YoY at USD19.3bn).
Country’s total foreign reserves stood at USD 20.28bn as of July 28, 2017. We believe the debt repayment ahead and the widening CAD to put the forex reserves under pressure, which have already dropped from peak level of 24bn. Rupee devalued 3.1% in a single day during the first week of the month, however recovered immediately after the intervention from the ministry of finance.
In the PIB auction held during the month; Central bank raised Rs. 54.45bn. The cut‐off yield for 3 years, 5 years and 10 years tenor remained unchanged at 6.41%, 6.90% and 7.94% respectively, while no bids were accepted in 20 year tenor. The government also raised PkR1,646bn in T-bills auctions during the month.
Disclaimer: This publication is for informational purposes only and nothing herein should be construed as a solicitation, recommendation or an offer to buy or sell any Fund. All investments in mutual funds are subject to market risks. The NAV based prices of units and any dividends/returns thereon are dependant on forces and factors affecting the capital markets. These may go up or down based on market conditions. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.